Philadelphia Flyers at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2025-11-06 • Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators 1 - 3 Philadelphia Flyers

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

NSH: 40.5%

PHI: 59.5%

Expected Goals

NSH: 2.88

PHI: 3.34

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 44%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

PHI

Dan Vladar - 14-6-3 | 0.910 SV% | 2.40 GAA

Stat	NSH	PHI
Season SV%	0.897	0.910
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.93	2.40

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NSH	Juuse Saros	26	23	3	88.5%	3.98	3	0.98
PHI	Dan Vladar	24	23	1	95.8%	3.65	3	2.65

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • NSH at home vs PHI: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-06	NSH 1 - 3 PHI	PHI	PHI
2025-10-30	PHI 4 - 1 NSH	PHI	PHI
2025-03-31	PHI 2 - 1 NSH	PHI	PHI
2024-11-27	NSH 2 - 3 PHI	PHI	PHI
2023-12-21	PHI 2 - 4 NSH	NSH	PHI

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NSH	21	2	1.54
1	PHI	9	0	0.55
2	NSH	16	1	1.52
2	PHI	13	1	1.48
3	NSH	12	0	0.59
3	PHI	12	2	1.95

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 59.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown