Minnesota Wild at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2025-11-07 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 2 - 5 Minnesota Wild

🚨 Upset Loss (64% underdog)

Win Probability

NYI: 63.9%

MIN: 36.1%

Expected Goals

NYI: 3.51

MIN: 3.01

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • NYI at home vs MIN: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-10	MIN 3 - 4 NYI	NYI	MIN
2025-11-07	NYI 2 - 5 MIN	MIN	NYI
2025-04-04	NYI 3 - 1 MIN	NYI	NYI
2025-02-08	MIN 6 - 3 NYI	MIN	MIN
2024-01-15	MIN 5 - 0 NYI	MIN	MIN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYI	11	0	0.47
1	MIN	11	0	0.61
2	NYI	15	2	1.24
2	MIN	16	2	1.31
3	NYI	8	1	0.56
3	MIN	13	0	0.87

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 63.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

New York Islanders 2 - 5 Minnesota Wild

Expected: 3.5 - 3.0