Minnesota Wild at New York Islanders NHL Predictions
2025-11-07 • UBS Arena
New York Islanders 2 - 5 Minnesota Wild
🚨 Upset Loss (59% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYI: 59.2%
MIN: 40.8%
Expected Goals
NYI: 3.38
MIN: 2.58
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 55%
Over 6.5: 36%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NYI
Ilya Sorokin - 20-13-2 | 0.916 SV% | 2.44 GAA
MIN
Filip Gustavsson - 20-9-6 | 0.906 SV% | 2.64 GAA
| Stat | NYI | MIN |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.912 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.930 | 0.895 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.917 | 0.852 |
| GAA | 2.55 | 2.47 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • NYI at home vs MIN: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-10 | MIN 3 - 4 NYI | NYI | MIN |
| 2025-11-07 | NYI 2 - 5 MIN | MIN | NYI |
| 2025-04-04 | NYI 3 - 1 MIN | NYI | NYI |
| 2025-02-08 | MIN 6 - 3 NYI | MIN | MIN |
| 2024-01-15 | MIN 5 - 0 NYI | MIN | MIN |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12:32 | MIN | Goal |
| 1 | 07:24 | MIN | Goal |
| 2 | 18:51 | MIN | Goal |
| 2 | 09:05 | MIN | Goal |
| 2 | 05:56 | MIN | Goal |
| 2 | 04:38 | MIN | Goal |
| 3 | 08:33 | MIN | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 59.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
New York Islanders 2 - 5 Minnesota Wild
Expected: 3.4 - 2.6