Chicago Blackhawks at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions
2025-11-07 • Scotiabank Saddledome
Calgary Flames 0 - 4 Chicago Blackhawks
🚨 Upset Loss (56% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CGY: 55.7%
CHI: 44.3%
Expected Goals
CGY: 3.20
CHI: 3.04
Total Goals
Median: 6.2
Over 5.5: 60%
Over 6.5: 47%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CGY
Dustin Wolf - 16-21-3 | 0.895 SV% | 3.00 GAA
CHI
Spencer Knight - 16-16-7 | 0.908 SV% | 2.62 GAA
| Stat | CGY | CHI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.909 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.877 | 0.864 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.837 | 0.964 |
| GAA | 2.82 | 2.63 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • CGY at home vs CHI: 3-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-15 | CHI 1 - 3 CGY | CGY | CHI |
| 2025-11-18 | CHI 5 - 2 CGY | CHI | CHI |
| 2025-11-07 | CGY 0 - 4 CHI | CHI | CGY |
| 2025-01-13 | CHI 2 - 5 CGY | CGY | CHI |
| 2024-12-21 | CGY 6 - 4 CHI | CGY | CGY |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12:32 | CHI | Goal |
| 3 | 18:01 | CHI | Goal |
| 3 | 07:56 | CHI | Goal |
| 3 | 01:11 | CHI | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 55.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Calgary Flames 0 - 4 Chicago Blackhawks
Expected: 3.2 - 3.0