Pittsburgh Penguins at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2025-11-08 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 2 - 1 Pittsburgh Penguins (SO)

Win Probability

NJD: 57.0%

PIT: 43.0%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.23

PIT: 2.90

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • NJD at home vs PIT: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-09	NJD 2 - 5 PIT	PIT	NJD
2026-02-26	PIT 4 - 1 NJD	PIT	PIT
2026-01-08	PIT 4 - 1 NJD	PIT	PIT
2025-11-08	NJD 2 - 1 PIT	NJD	NJD
2025-04-11	NJD 2 - 4 PIT	PIT	PIT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	11	1	0.84
1	PIT	15	0	0.91
2	NJD	10	0	0.73
2	PIT	17	1	1.07
3	NJD	12	0	0.75
3	PIT	10	0	0.40
4	NJD	3	0	0.11
4	PIT	4	0	0.32
5	NJD	2	2	1.67
5	PIT	2	0	0.14

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 2 - 1 Pittsburgh Penguins

Expected: 3.2 - 2.9