Ottawa Senators at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions
2025-11-08 • Xfinity Mobile Arena
Philadelphia Flyers 2 - 3 Ottawa Senators (OT)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
PHI: 46.6%
OTT: 53.4%
Expected Goals
PHI: 2.86
OTT: 3.29
Total Goals
Median: 5.8
Over 5.5: 56%
Over 6.5: 42%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • PHI at home vs OTT: 1-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-05 | PHI 1 - 2 OTT | OTT | OTT |
| 2025-11-08 | PHI 2 - 3 OTT | OTT | OTT |
| 2025-10-23 | OTT 2 - 1 PHI | OTT | OTT |
| 2025-04-13 | OTT 4 - 3 PHI | OTT | OTT |
| 2025-03-11 | PHI 2 - 5 OTT | OTT | PHI |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PHI | 6 | 0 | 0.50 |
| 1 | OTT | 14 | 1 | 1.14 |
| 2 | PHI | 16 | 0 | 1.08 |
| 2 | OTT | 8 | 1 | 0.87 |
| 3 | PHI | 14 | 0 | 0.80 |
| 3 | OTT | 4 | 0 | 0.13 |
| 4 | PHI | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| 4 | OTT | 3 | 0 | 0.31 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 53.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Philadelphia Flyers 2 - 3 Ottawa Senators
Expected: 2.9 - 3.3
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