Utah Hockey Club at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions

2025-11-08 • Centre Bell

Montreal Canadiens 6 - 2 Utah Hockey Club

Win Probability

MTL: 51.5%

UTA: 48.5%

Expected Goals

MTL: 3.84

UTA: 2.90

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • MTL at home vs UTA: 1-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-26	UTA 3 - 4 MTL	MTL	UTA
2025-11-08	MTL 6 - 2 UTA	MTL	MTL
2025-01-14	UTA 3 - 5 MTL	MTL	UTA
2024-11-26	MTL 2 - 3 UTA	UTA	UTA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MTL	9	0	0.60
1	UTA	6	1	0.43
2	MTL	9	0	0.69
2	UTA	20	2	2.11
3	MTL	17	0	1.40
3	UTA	15	0	0.74

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Montreal Canadiens 6 - 2 Utah Hockey Club

Expected: 3.8 - 2.9