Seattle Kraken at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2025-11-08 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 3 - 4 Seattle Kraken (OT)

🚨 Upset Loss (56% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

STL: 56.2%

SEA: 43.8%

Expected Goals

STL: 2.91

SEA: 2.99

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 44%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

STL

Joel Hofer - 8-8-2 | 0.901 SV% | 2.87 GAA

SEA

Philipp Grubauer - 7-3-1 | 0.920 SV% | 2.32 GAA

Stat	STL	SEA
Season SV%	0.901	0.920
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.87	2.32

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
STL	Joel Hofer	30	26	4	86.7%	2.08	0	-1.92
SEA	Philipp Grubauer	19	16	3	84.2%	3.44	4	0.44

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • STL at home vs SEA: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-04	SEA 2 - 3 STL	STL	STL
2026-02-26	STL 5 - 1 SEA	STL	STL
2025-11-08	STL 3 - 4 SEA	SEA	STL
2025-04-12	SEA 4 - 3 STL	SEA	STL
2025-02-25	STL 7 - 2 SEA	STL	STL

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	11	0	0.66
1	SEA	15	0	0.55
2	STL	9	0	0.63
2	SEA	18	0	1.02
3	STL	11	4	2.15
3	SEA	10	0	0.40
4	STL	0	0	0.00
4	SEA	1	0	0.11

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 56.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 3 - 4 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 2.9 - 3.0