Colorado Avalanche at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions
2025-11-08 • Rogers Place
Edmonton Oilers 1 - 9 Colorado Avalanche
🚨 Upset Loss (54% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
EDM: 54.2%
COL: 45.8%
Expected Goals
EDM: 2.93
COL: 3.24
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 43%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
EDM
Tristan Jarry - 15-7-2 | 0.890 SV% | 3.18 GAA
COL
Scott Wedgewood - 21-4-5 | 0.913 SV% | 2.29 GAA
| Stat | EDM | COL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.906 | 0.919 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.841 | 0.891 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.958 |
| GAA | 2.73 | 2.13 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 29% • EDM at home vs COL: 1-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-08 | EDM 1 - 9 COL | COL | EDM |
| 2025-02-07 | EDM 4 - 5 COL | COL | EDM |
| 2025-01-16 | COL 3 - 4 EDM | EDM | COL |
| 2024-11-30 | COL 1 - 4 EDM | EDM | COL |
| 2024-04-18 | COL 5 - 1 EDM | COL | COL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14:35 | COL | Goal |
| 1 | 13:29 | COL | Goal |
| 2 | 14:38 | COL | Goal |
| 2 | 11:30 | COL | Goal |
| 2 | 09:34 | COL | Goal |
| 2 | 04:45 | COL | Goal |
| 2 | 02:38 | COL | Goal |
| 3 | 14:28 | COL | Goal |
| 3 | 05:02 | COL | Goal |
| 3 | 00:24 | COL | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 54.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 10.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Edmonton Oilers 1 - 9 Colorado Avalanche
Expected: 2.9 - 3.2