Anaheim Ducks at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions
2025-11-08 • T-Mobile Arena
Vegas Golden Knights 3 - 4 Anaheim Ducks (OT)
🚨 Upset Loss (55% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
VGK: 55.5%
ANA: 44.5%
Expected Goals
VGK: 3.11
ANA: 2.92
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 40%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
VGK
Akira Schmid - 16-6-6 | 0.895 SV% | 2.53 GAA
ANA
Lukas Dostal - 22-13-2 | 0.895 SV% | 2.98 GAA
| Stat | VGK | ANA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.895 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.891 | 0.904 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.871 | 0.905 |
| GAA | 2.50 | 3.15 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • VGK at home vs ANA: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-01 | ANA 4 - 3 VGK | ANA | ANA |
| 2025-11-22 | ANA 4 - 3 VGK | ANA | ANA |
| 2025-11-08 | VGK 3 - 4 ANA | ANA | VGK |
| 2024-12-23 | VGK 3 - 1 ANA | VGK | VGK |
| 2024-12-04 | ANA 1 - 4 VGK | VGK | ANA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 05:47 | VGK | Goal |
| 1 | 15:49 | VGK | Goal |
| 2 | 10:39 | ANA | Goal |
| 2 | 16:50 | ANA | Goal |
| 3 | 03:56 | ANA | Goal |
| 3 | 14:53 | VGK | Goal |
| 4 | 04:28 | ANA | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 55.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Vegas Golden Knights 3 - 4 Anaheim Ducks
Expected: 3.1 - 2.9