Chicago Blackhawks at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions
2025-11-09 • Little Caesars Arena
Detroit Red Wings 1 - 5 Chicago Blackhawks
🚨 Upset Loss (60% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DET: 59.6%
CHI: 40.4%
Expected Goals
DET: 3.59
CHI: 2.81
Total Goals
Median: 6.2
Over 5.5: 62%
Over 6.5: 45%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
DET
John Gibson - 22-12-2 | 0.904 SV% | 2.62 GAA
CHI
Spencer Knight - 16-16-7 | 0.908 SV% | 2.62 GAA
| Stat | DET | CHI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.893 | 0.909 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.887 | 0.864 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.911 | — |
| GAA | 2.97 | 2.63 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • DET at home vs CHI: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-13 | CHI 0 - 4 DET | DET | CHI |
| 2025-11-09 | DET 1 - 5 CHI | CHI | DET |
| 2025-01-10 | DET 5 - 3 CHI | DET | DET |
| 2024-11-06 | CHI 1 - 4 DET | DET | CHI |
| 2024-02-25 | CHI 2 - 3 DET | DET | CHI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 04:19 | DET | Goal |
| 1 | 00:59 | CHI | Goal |
| 2 | 03:22 | CHI | Goal |
| 3 | 19:44 | CHI | Goal |
| 3 | 16:37 | CHI | Goal |
| 3 | 05:09 | CHI | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 59.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Detroit Red Wings 1 - 5 Chicago Blackhawks
Expected: 3.6 - 2.8