Calgary Flames at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2025-11-09 • Grand Casino Arena

Minnesota Wild 2 - 0 Calgary Flames

Win Probability

MIN: 51.1%

CGY: 48.9%

Expected Goals

MIN: 3.43

CGY: 3.09

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 51%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • MIN at home vs CGY: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-29	MIN 4 - 1 CGY	MIN	MIN
2025-12-04	CGY 4 - 1 MIN	CGY	CGY
2025-11-09	MIN 2 - 0 CGY	MIN	MIN
2025-04-11	CGY 4 - 2 MIN	CGY	MIN
2025-01-25	MIN 4 - 5 CGY	CGY	CGY

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	15	1	0.75
1	CGY	17	0	0.65
2	MIN	12	0	0.58
2	CGY	16	1	0.92
3	MIN	8	2	1.78
3	CGY	20	0	0.90

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 2.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 2 - 0 Calgary Flames

Expected: 3.4 - 3.1