Winnipeg Jets at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2025-11-09 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 4 - 1 Winnipeg Jets

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

ANA: 53.0%

WPG: 47.0%

Expected Goals

ANA: 3.33

WPG: 3.02

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 44%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

ANA

Lukas Dostal - 13-9-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.15 GAA

WPG

Eric Comrie - 6-9-1 | 0.880 SV% | 3.49 GAA

Stat	ANA	WPG
Season SV%	0.888	0.880
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	3.15	3.49

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ANA	Lukas Dostal	24	23	1	95.8%	2.44	1	1.44
WPG	Eric Comrie	21	17	4	81.0%	2.97	2	-1.03

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • ANA at home vs WPG: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-10	WPG 1 - 4 ANA	ANA	WPG
2026-02-27	ANA 5 - 4 WPG	ANA	ANA
2025-11-09	ANA 4 - 1 WPG	ANA	ANA
2025-04-16	WPG 2 - 1 ANA	WPG	WPG
2025-01-02	WPG 3 - 4 ANA	ANA	WPG

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	14	1	0.81
1	WPG	15	0	0.80
2	ANA	17	1	1.30
2	WPG	13	0	0.82
3	ANA	14	0	0.85
3	WPG	16	1	0.82

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown