Nashville Predators at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2025-11-10 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 6 - 3 Nashville Predators

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

NYR: 69.5%

NSH: 30.5%

Expected Goals

NYR: 3.46

NSH: 2.65

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 53%

Over 6.5: 42%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

NYR

Igor Shesterkin - 16-12-4 | 0.910 SV% | 2.51 GAA

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

Stat	NYR	NSH
Season SV%	0.910	0.897
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.51	2.93

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYR	Igor Shesterkin	30	27	3	90.0%	2.93	1	-0.07
NSH	Juuse Saros	18	12	6	66.7%	1.95	0	-4.05

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • NYR at home vs NSH: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-21	NSH 2 - 1 NYR	NSH	NSH
2025-11-10	NYR 6 - 3 NSH	NYR	NYR
2025-03-02	NYR 4 - 0 NSH	NYR	NYR
2024-12-17	NSH 2 - 0 NYR	NSH	NSH
2023-12-02	NSH 3 - 4 NYR	NYR	NSH

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	10	0	0.66
1	NSH	12	1	1.08
2	NYR	9	0	0.51
2	NSH	7	0	0.42
3	NYR	10	0	0.78
3	NSH	27	0	1.43

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 69.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown