Florida Panthers at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions
2025-11-10 • T-Mobile Arena
Vegas Golden Knights 2 - 3 Florida Panthers
🚨 Upset Loss (57% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
VGK: 56.9%
FLA: 43.1%
Expected Goals
VGK: 3.31
FLA: 2.98
Total Goals
Median: 6.4
Over 5.5: 61%
Over 6.5: 49%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
VGK
Akira Schmid - 16-6-6 | 0.895 SV% | 2.53 GAA
FLA
Sergei Bobrovsky - 21-17-1 | 0.871 SV% | 3.13 GAA
| Stat | VGK | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.895 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.891 | 0.837 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.885 | 0.959 |
| GAA | 2.50 | 2.80 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • VGK at home vs FLA: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-10 | VGK 2 - 3 FLA | FLA | VGK |
| 2025-10-25 | FLA 3 - 0 VGK | FLA | FLA |
| 2025-01-26 | VGK 4 - 1 FLA | VGK | VGK |
| 2024-10-19 | FLA 4 - 3 VGK | FLA | FLA |
| 2024-01-04 | VGK 1 - 4 FLA | FLA | VGK |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14:47 | FLA | Goal |
| 2 | 10:54 | FLA | Goal |
| 3 | 09:04 | FLA | Goal |
| 3 | 04:54 | FLA | Goal |
| 3 | 01:25 | FLA | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 56.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Vegas Golden Knights 2 - 3 Florida Panthers
Expected: 3.3 - 3.0