Toronto Maple Leafs at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions
2025-11-11 • TD Garden
Boston Bruins 5 - 3 Toronto Maple Leafs
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BOS: 61.7%
TOR: 38.3%
Expected Goals
BOS: 3.33
TOR: 2.65
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 39%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BOS
Jeremy Swayman - 22-12-3 | 0.903 SV% | 2.92 GAA
TOR
Joseph Woll - 13-7-4 | 0.908 SV% | 2.92 GAA
| Stat | BOS | TOR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.903 | 0.914 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.889 | 0.910 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.909 | — |
| GAA | 2.84 | 2.74 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 53% • BOS at home vs TOR: 6-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-11 | BOS 5 - 3 TOR | BOS | BOS |
| 2025-11-08 | TOR 3 - 5 BOS | BOS | TOR |
| 2025-02-25 | BOS 4 - 5 TOR | TOR | BOS |
| 2025-01-04 | TOR 6 - 4 BOS | TOR | TOR |
| 2024-11-05 | TOR 4 - 0 BOS | TOR | TOR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17:23 | BOS | Goal |
| 1 | 09:32 | BOS | Goal |
| 1 | 06:41 | BOS | Goal |
| 1 | 04:27 | BOS | Goal |
| 2 | 18:58 | BOS | Goal |
| 2 | 00:49 | BOS | Goal |
| 3 | 09:48 | BOS | Goal |
| 3 | 03:32 | BOS | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 61.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Boston Bruins 5 - 3 Toronto Maple Leafs
Expected: 3.3 - 2.6