Toronto Maple Leafs at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2025-11-11 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 5 - 3 Toronto Maple Leafs

Win Probability

BOS: 52.8%

TOR: 47.2%

Expected Goals

BOS: 3.29

TOR: 2.84

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 46%

BOS

Jeremy Swayman - 31-18-4 | 0.907 SV% | 2.71 GAA

TOR

Joseph Woll - 15-16-7 | 0.898 SV% | 3.34 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 61% • BOS at home vs TOR: 6-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-24	BOS 2 - 4 TOR	TOR	BOS
2025-11-11	BOS 5 - 3 TOR	BOS	BOS
2025-11-08	TOR 3 - 5 BOS	BOS	TOR
2025-02-25	BOS 4 - 5 TOR	TOR	TOR
2025-01-04	TOR 6 - 4 BOS	TOR	TOR

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Boston Bruins 5 - 3 Toronto Maple Leafs

Expected: 3.3 - 2.8