Calgary Flames at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions
2025-11-11 • Enterprise Center
St. Louis Blues 3 - 2 Calgary Flames
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
STL: 58.8%
CGY: 41.2%
Expected Goals
STL: 3.54
CGY: 2.76
Total Goals
Median: 6.2
Over 5.5: 61%
Over 6.5: 46%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
STL
Jordan Binnington - 8-17-6 | 0.864 SV% | 3.65 GAA
CGY
Dustin Wolf - 16-21-3 | 0.895 SV% | 3.00 GAA
| Stat | STL | CGY |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.869 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.826 | 0.877 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.950 | 0.881 |
| GAA | 3.56 | 2.82 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • STL at home vs CGY: 4-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-11 | STL 3 - 2 CGY | STL | STL |
| 2025-10-11 | CGY 2 - 4 STL | STL | CGY |
| 2025-01-16 | STL 4 - 1 CGY | STL | STL |
| 2025-01-14 | STL 2 - 1 CGY | STL | STL |
| 2024-12-05 | CGY 3 - 4 STL | STL | CGY |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13:43 | STL | Goal |
| 1 | 10:59 | STL | Goal |
| 2 | 14:29 | STL | Goal |
| 2 | 14:04 | STL | Goal |
| 2 | 07:20 | STL | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 58.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
St. Louis Blues 3 - 2 Calgary Flames
Expected: 3.5 - 2.8