San Jose Sharks at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions
2025-11-11 • Grand Casino Arena
Minnesota Wild 1 - 2 San Jose Sharks (OT)
🚨 Upset Loss (60% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
MIN: 59.9%
SJS: 40.1%
Expected Goals
MIN: 3.58
SJS: 2.91
Total Goals
Median: 7.3
Over 5.5: 77%
Over 6.5: 65%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
MIN
Filip Gustavsson - 28-15-6 | 0.903 SV% | 2.69 GAA
SJS
Yaroslav Askarov - 21-20-4 | 0.883 SV% | 3.63 GAA
| Stat | MIN | SJS |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.912 | 0.896 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.836 | 0.862 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.889 | 0.894 |
| GAA | 2.47 | 3.36 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • MIN at home vs SJS: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-31 | SJS 4 - 3 MIN | SJS | MIN |
| 2025-11-11 | MIN 1 - 2 SJS | SJS | MIN |
| 2025-10-26 | MIN 5 - 6 SJS | SJS | MIN |
| 2025-04-09 | MIN 8 - 7 SJS | MIN | MIN |
| 2025-01-11 | SJS 1 - 3 MIN | MIN | MIN |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 59.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 6.5
Score Breakdown
Minnesota Wild 1 - 2 San Jose Sharks
Expected: 3.6 - 2.9
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