Winnipeg Jets at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions
2025-11-11 • Rogers Arena
Vancouver Canucks 3 - 5 Winnipeg Jets
🚨 Upset Loss (59% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
VAN: 58.9%
WPG: 41.1%
Expected Goals
VAN: 3.59
WPG: 2.60
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 56%
Over 6.5: 43%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
VAN
Kevin Lankinen - 7-19-4 | 0.876 SV% | 3.67 GAA
WPG
Connor Hellebuyck - 13-16-7 | 0.900 SV% | 2.79 GAA
| Stat | VAN | WPG |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.885 | 0.907 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.793 | 0.879 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.952 | 0.909 |
| GAA | 3.41 | 2.51 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 62% • VAN at home vs WPG: 2-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-25 | VAN 2 - 3 WPG | WPG | VAN |
| 2025-11-11 | VAN 3 - 5 WPG | WPG | VAN |
| 2025-03-30 | WPG 3 - 1 VAN | WPG | WPG |
| 2025-03-18 | VAN 6 - 2 WPG | VAN | VAN |
| 2025-01-14 | WPG 6 - 1 VAN | WPG | WPG |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 04:57 | WPG | Goal |
| 1 | 10:21 | VAN | Goal |
| 1 | 11:58 | VAN | Goal |
| 1 | 14:38 | VAN | Goal |
| 1 | 14:53 | WPG | Goal |
| 3 | 00:48 | WPG | Goal |
| 3 | 18:30 | WPG | Goal |
| 3 | 19:12 | WPG | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 58.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Vancouver Canucks 3 - 5 Winnipeg Jets
Expected: 3.6 - 2.6