Edmonton Oilers at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions
2025-11-12 • Xfinity Mobile Arena
Philadelphia Flyers 1 - 2 Edmonton Oilers (OT)
🚨 Upset Loss (61% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
PHI: 61.2%
EDM: 38.8%
Expected Goals
PHI: 3.82
EDM: 2.63
Total Goals
Median: 6.3
Over 5.5: 65%
Over 6.5: 48%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
PHI
Dan Vladar - 17-9-6 | 0.905 SV% | 2.46 GAA
EDM
Tristan Jarry - 15-7-2 | 0.890 SV% | 3.18 GAA
| Stat | PHI | EDM |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.906 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.918 | 0.841 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.929 | 0.966 |
| GAA | 2.40 | 2.73 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • PHI at home vs EDM: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-03 | EDM 2 - 5 PHI | PHI | EDM |
| 2025-11-12 | PHI 1 - 2 EDM | EDM | PHI |
| 2025-02-22 | PHI 6 - 3 EDM | PHI | EDM |
| 2024-10-15 | EDM 4 - 3 PHI | EDM | EDM |
| 2024-01-02 | EDM 5 - 2 PHI | EDM | EDM |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19:05 | EDM | Goal |
| 2 | 15:38 | PHI | Goal |
| 4 | 01:19 | EDM | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 61.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 6.5
Score Breakdown
Philadelphia Flyers 1 - 2 Edmonton Oilers
Expected: 3.8 - 2.6