Los Angeles Kings at Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Predictions
2025-11-13 • Scotiabank Arena
Toronto Maple Leafs 3 - 4 Los Angeles Kings (OT)
🚨 Upset Loss (57% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
TOR: 57.4%
LAK: 42.6%
Expected Goals
TOR: 3.12
LAK: 2.99
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 59%
Over 6.5: 42%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
TOR
Joseph Woll - 13-7-4 | 0.908 SV% | 2.92 GAA
LAK
Darcy Kuemper - 14-11-9 | 0.900 SV% | 2.59 GAA
| Stat | TOR | LAK |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.914 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.910 | 0.866 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.800 |
| GAA | 2.74 | 2.27 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 20% • TOR at home vs LAK: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-13 | TOR 3 - 4 LAK | LAK | TOR |
| 2025-03-29 | LAK 1 - 3 TOR | TOR | LAK |
| 2024-10-16 | TOR 6 - 2 LAK | TOR | TOR |
| 2024-01-02 | LAK 0 - 3 TOR | TOR | LAK |
| 2023-10-31 | TOR 1 - 4 LAK | LAK | TOR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16:39 | TOR | Goal |
| 1 | 08:06 | TOR | Goal |
| 2 | 17:16 | TOR | Goal |
| 2 | 15:41 | TOR | Goal |
| 2 | 06:51 | TOR | Goal |
| 3 | 13:10 | TOR | Goal |
| 4 | 00:35 | LAK | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 57.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Toronto Maple Leafs 3 - 4 Los Angeles Kings
Expected: 3.1 - 3.0