Philadelphia Flyers at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2025-11-14 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 5 - 6 Philadelphia Flyers (SO)

Win Probability

STL: 49.7%

PHI: 50.3%

Expected Goals

STL: 3.28

PHI: 3.15

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • STL at home vs PHI: 0-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-20	PHI 3 - 2 STL	PHI	PHI
2025-11-14	STL 5 - 6 PHI	PHI	PHI
2024-11-30	STL 2 - 3 PHI	PHI	STL
2024-10-31	PHI 2 - 1 STL	PHI	PHI
2024-03-04	PHI 1 - 2 STL	STL	PHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	10	0	0.74
1	PHI	11	0	0.53
2	STL	8	0	0.49
2	PHI	15	0	0.71
3	STL	9	1	0.83
3	PHI	8	0	0.49
4	STL	2	0	0.28
4	PHI	6	0	0.63
5	STL	3	0	0.19
5	PHI	2	1	0.91

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 11.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 5 - 6 Philadelphia Flyers

Expected: 3.3 - 3.2