Pittsburgh Penguins at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2025-11-14 • Avicii Arena

Nashville Predators 2 - 1 Pittsburgh Penguins (OT)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

NSH: 50.4%

PIT: 49.6%

Expected Goals

NSH: 3.24

PIT: 3.27

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 47%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

PIT

Arturs Silovs - 7-5-6 | 0.886 SV% | 3.20 GAA

Stat	NSH	PIT
Season SV%	0.897	0.886
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.93	3.20

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NSH	Juuse Saros	17	16	1	94.1%	1.94	0	0.94
PIT	Arturs Silovs	30	28	2	93.3%	3.61	3	1.61

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • NSH at home vs PIT: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-16	PIT 4 - 0 NSH	PIT	PIT
2025-11-14	NSH 2 - 1 PIT	NSH	NSH
2025-02-01	PIT 3 - 0 NSH	PIT	PIT
2024-12-19	NSH 4 - 5 PIT	PIT	NSH
2024-04-15	PIT 4 - 2 NSH	PIT	NSH

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NSH	12	0	0.70
1	PIT	10	0	0.71
2	NSH	19	3	1.90
2	PIT	7	0	0.60
3	NSH	14	0	0.74
3	PIT	8	0	0.44
4	NSH	2	0	0.26
4	PIT	1	0	0.20

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Nashville Predators 2 - 1 Pittsburgh Penguins

Expected: 3.2 - 3.3