Anaheim Ducks at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2025-11-15 • Grand Casino Arena

Minnesota Wild 2 - 0 Anaheim Ducks

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

MIN: 56.2%

ANA: 43.8%

Expected Goals

MIN: 3.45

ANA: 3.05

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 44%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

MIN

Jesper Wallstedt - 11-2-3 | 0.928 SV% | 2.21 GAA

ANA

Petr Mrazek - 3-4-0 | 0.865 SV% | 3.78 GAA

Stat	MIN	ANA
Season SV%	0.928	0.865
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.21	3.78

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MIN	Jesper Wallstedt	28	28	0	100.0%	2.44	0	2.44
ANA	Petr Mrazek	30	28	2	93.3%	3.91	2	1.91

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • MIN at home vs ANA: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-14	MIN 3 - 2 ANA	MIN	ANA
2026-01-02	ANA 2 - 5 MIN	MIN	ANA
2025-11-15	MIN 2 - 0 ANA	MIN	MIN
2025-04-15	MIN 3 - 2 ANA	MIN	MIN
2024-12-06	ANA 1 - 5 MIN	MIN	MIN

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	15	0	0.91
1	ANA	10	0	0.40
2	MIN	15	0	1.04
2	ANA	18	0	1.17
3	MIN	16	2	1.96
3	ANA	13	0	0.87

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 2.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown