Boston Bruins at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions
2025-11-15 • Centre Bell
Montreal Canadiens 2 - 3 Boston Bruins
🚨 Upset Loss (61% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
MTL: 61.3%
BOS: 38.7%
Expected Goals
MTL: 3.26
BOS: 2.92
Total Goals
Median: 6.2
Over 5.5: 59%
Over 6.5: 44%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
MTL
Jakub Dobes - 29-10-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.78 GAA
BOS
Jeremy Swayman - 31-18-4 | 0.907 SV% | 2.71 GAA
| Stat | MTL | BOS |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.889 | 0.903 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.891 | 0.904 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.929 | 0.876 |
| GAA | 3.01 | 2.84 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • MTL at home vs BOS: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-17 | MTL 3 - 2 BOS | MTL | MTL |
| 2026-01-24 | BOS 4 - 3 MTL | BOS | BOS |
| 2025-12-23 | BOS 2 - 6 MTL | MTL | BOS |
| 2025-11-15 | MTL 2 - 3 BOS | BOS | MTL |
| 2025-04-03 | MTL 4 - 1 BOS | MTL | MTL |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 61.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Montreal Canadiens 2 - 3 Boston Bruins
Expected: 3.3 - 2.9
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.