Buffalo Sabres at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions
2025-11-15 • Little Caesars Arena
Detroit Red Wings 4 - 5 Buffalo Sabres (OT)
🚨 Upset Loss (59% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DET: 59.0%
BUF: 41.0%
Expected Goals
DET: 3.45
BUF: 3.09
Total Goals
Median: 6.1
Over 5.5: 62%
Over 6.5: 46%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
DET
John Gibson - 22-12-2 | 0.904 SV% | 2.62 GAA
BUF
Alex Lyon - 14-8-3 | 0.913 SV% | 2.72 GAA
| Stat | DET | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.893 | 0.906 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.887 | 0.934 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.845 | — |
| GAA | 2.97 | 2.82 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • DET at home vs BUF: 4-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-15 | DET 4 - 5 BUF | BUF | DET |
| 2025-10-22 | BUF 4 - 2 DET | BUF | BUF |
| 2025-03-12 | DET 7 - 3 BUF | DET | DET |
| 2024-12-09 | BUF 5 - 6 DET | DET | BUF |
| 2024-11-02 | DET 2 - 1 BUF | DET | DET |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10:23 | DET | Goal |
| 1 | 10:52 | DET | Goal |
| 2 | 03:52 | DET | Goal |
| 2 | 05:56 | DET | Goal |
| 2 | 08:50 | DET | Goal |
| 2 | 17:58 | DET | Goal |
| 3 | 04:25 | DET | Goal |
| 3 | 09:28 | DET | Goal |
| 4 | 01:05 | BUF | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 59.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.5
Score Breakdown
Detroit Red Wings 4 - 5 Buffalo Sabres
Expected: 3.4 - 3.1