New York Islanders at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions
2025-11-16 • Ball Arena
Colorado Avalanche 4 - 1 New York Islanders
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
COL: 60.9%
NYI: 39.1%
Expected Goals
COL: 3.23
NYI: 2.76
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 58%
Over 6.5: 42%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
COL
Scott Wedgewood - 21-4-5 | 0.913 SV% | 2.29 GAA
NYI
Ilya Sorokin - 20-13-2 | 0.916 SV% | 2.44 GAA
| Stat | COL | NYI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.919 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.891 | 0.930 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.966 | 0.908 |
| GAA | 2.13 | 2.55 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • COL at home vs NYI: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-04 | NYI 6 - 3 COL | NYI | COL |
| 2025-11-16 | COL 4 - 1 NYI | COL | COL |
| 2025-01-28 | NYI 5 - 2 COL | NYI | NYI |
| 2024-10-14 | COL 2 - 6 NYI | NYI | COL |
| 2024-01-02 | COL 5 - 4 NYI | COL | COL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 02:05 | NYI | Goal |
| 2 | 05:51 | COL | Goal |
| 2 | 04:32 | COL | Goal |
| 3 | 19:44 | COL | Goal |
| 3 | 19:25 | COL | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 60.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Colorado Avalanche 4 - 1 New York Islanders
Expected: 3.2 - 2.8