Utah Hockey Club at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2025-11-17 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 3 - 2 Utah Hockey Club (OT)

🚨 Upset Win (58% underdog)

Win Probability

ANA: 41.5%

UTA: 58.5%

Expected Goals

ANA: 3.20

UTA: 3.14

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 49%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • ANA at home vs UTA: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-20	UTA 1 - 4 ANA	ANA	UTA
2025-12-03	ANA 0 - 7 UTA	UTA	UTA
2025-11-17	ANA 3 - 2 UTA	ANA	UTA
2025-03-12	UTA 3 - 2 ANA	UTA	UTA
2024-12-22	UTA 4 - 5 ANA	ANA	UTA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	6	0	0.61
1	UTA	10	0	0.51
2	ANA	19	0	0.75
2	UTA	11	0	0.47
3	ANA	17	1	1.12
3	UTA	10	0	0.64
4	ANA	1	0	0.18
4	UTA	0	0	0.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 58.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 3 - 2 Utah Hockey Club

Expected: 3.2 - 3.1