Columbus Blue Jackets at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2025-11-18 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 5 - 2 Columbus Blue Jackets

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

WPG: 62.0%

CBJ: 38.0%

Expected Goals

WPG: 3.38

CBJ: 3.05

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 45%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

WPG

Eric Comrie - 6-9-1 | 0.880 SV% | 3.49 GAA

CBJ

Elvis Merzlikins - 6-6-1 | 0.877 SV% | 4.04 GAA

Stat	WPG	CBJ
Season SV%	0.880	0.877
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	3.49	4.04

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
WPG	Eric Comrie	22	20	2	90.9%	2.70	3	0.70
CBJ	Elvis Merzlikins	30	25	5	83.3%	2.48	2	-2.52

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • WPG at home vs CBJ: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-04	CBJ 1 - 2 WPG	WPG	CBJ
2025-11-18	WPG 5 - 2 CBJ	WPG	WPG
2024-12-08	WPG 1 - 4 CBJ	CBJ	CBJ
2024-11-01	CBJ 2 - 6 WPG	WPG	WPG
2024-03-17	CBJ 1 - 6 WPG	WPG	WPG

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	19	1	1.36
1	CBJ	17	2	1.40
2	WPG	13	0	0.49
2	CBJ	8	1	0.53
3	WPG	14	1	0.63
3	CBJ	11	0	0.77

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 62.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown