New York Rangers at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2025-11-18 • T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights 3 - 2 New York Rangers

Win Probability

VGK: 60.1%

NYR: 39.9%

Expected Goals

VGK: 4.17

NYR: 2.77

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 41%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • VGK at home vs NYR: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-07	NYR 2 - 3 VGK	VGK	VGK
2025-11-18	VGK 3 - 2 NYR	VGK	VGK
2025-02-02	NYR 4 - 2 VGK	NYR	VGK
2025-01-11	VGK 1 - 2 NYR	NYR	VGK
2024-01-26	NYR 2 - 5 VGK	VGK	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VGK	13	0	0.86
1	NYR	13	0	0.60
2	VGK	10	0	0.67
2	NYR	11	2	0.88
3	VGK	17	1	1.32
3	NYR	11	0	0.75

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 60.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.9

Score Breakdown

Vegas Golden Knights 3 - 2 New York Rangers

Expected: 4.2 - 2.8