New York Rangers at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions
2025-11-18 • T-Mobile Arena
Vegas Golden Knights 3 - 2 New York Rangers
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
VGK: 58.7%
NYR: 41.3%
Expected Goals
VGK: 3.40
NYR: 3.02
Total Goals
Median: 6.2
Over 5.5: 64%
Over 6.5: 49%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
VGK
Akira Schmid - 16-6-6 | 0.895 SV% | 2.53 GAA
NYR
Igor Shesterkin - 17-12-4 | 0.913 SV% | 2.45 GAA
| Stat | VGK | NYR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.895 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.891 | 0.942 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.895 | 0.885 |
| GAA | 2.50 | 2.51 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • VGK at home vs NYR: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-07 | NYR 2 - 3 VGK | VGK | NYR |
| 2025-11-18 | VGK 3 - 2 NYR | VGK | VGK |
| 2025-02-02 | NYR 4 - 2 VGK | NYR | NYR |
| 2025-01-11 | VGK 1 - 2 NYR | NYR | VGK |
| 2024-01-26 | NYR 2 - 5 VGK | VGK | NYR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11:40 | VGK | Goal |
| 2 | 08:56 | VGK | Goal |
| 2 | 03:23 | VGK | Goal |
| 3 | 17:17 | VGK | Goal |
| 3 | 07:18 | VGK | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 58.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Vegas Golden Knights 3 - 2 New York Rangers
Expected: 3.4 - 3.0