Utah Hockey Club at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2025-11-18 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 3 - 2 Utah Hockey Club (OT)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

SJS: 57.7%

UTA: 42.3%

Expected Goals

SJS: 2.95

UTA: 2.94

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 53%

Over 6.5: 40%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

SJS

Yaroslav Askarov - 15-10-1 | 0.896 SV% | 3.36 GAA

UTA

Vitek Vanecek - 2-9-1 | 0.879 SV% | 2.92 GAA

Stat	SJS	UTA
Season SV%	0.896	0.879
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	3.36	2.92

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SJS	Yaroslav Askarov	26	24	2	92.3%	2.44	1	0.44
UTA	Vitek Vanecek	22	19	3	86.4%	1.53	0	-1.47

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • SJS at home vs UTA: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-01	SJS 6 - 3 UTA	SJS	UTA
2025-11-18	SJS 3 - 2 UTA	SJS	SJS
2025-10-17	UTA 6 - 3 SJS	UTA	UTA
2025-01-10	UTA 2 - 1 SJS	UTA	UTA
2024-12-14	SJS 3 - 4 UTA	UTA	UTA

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	9	0	0.54
1	UTA	9	1	0.81
2	SJS	12	0	0.54
2	UTA	13	0	1.03
3	SJS	6	0	0.27
3	UTA	14	0	0.53
4	SJS	2	0	0.17
4	UTA	1	0	0.07

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 3 - 2 Utah Hockey Club

Expected: 2.9 - 2.9