Edmonton Oilers at Washington Capitals NHL Predictions
2025-11-19 • Capital One Arena
Washington Capitals 7 - 4 Edmonton Oilers
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
WSH: 62.3%
EDM: 37.7%
Expected Goals
WSH: 3.07
EDM: 2.69
Total Goals
Median: 5.7
Over 5.5: 52%
Over 6.5: 38%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
WSH
Logan Thompson - 20-16-4 | 0.913 SV% | 2.41 GAA
EDM
Tristan Jarry - 15-7-2 | 0.890 SV% | 3.18 GAA
| Stat | WSH | EDM |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.913 | 0.906 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.904 | 0.841 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.867 | 0.867 |
| GAA | 2.39 | 2.73 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • WSH at home vs EDM: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-24 | EDM 6 - 5 WSH | EDM | EDM |
| 2025-11-19 | WSH 7 - 4 EDM | WSH | WSH |
| 2025-02-23 | WSH 7 - 3 EDM | WSH | WSH |
| 2025-01-21 | EDM 2 - 3 WSH | WSH | EDM |
| 2024-03-13 | EDM 7 - 2 WSH | EDM | EDM |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12:17 | WSH | Goal |
| 1 | 10:34 | WSH | Goal |
| 1 | 07:05 | WSH | Goal |
| 1 | 06:04 | WSH | Goal |
| 1 | 02:17 | WSH | Goal |
| 2 | 11:49 | WSH | Goal |
| 3 | 19:27 | WSH | Goal |
| 3 | 18:59 | WSH | Goal |
| 3 | 07:47 | WSH | Goal |
| 3 | 06:37 | WSH | Goal |
| 3 | 02:41 | WSH | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 62.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 11.0
Expected: 5.8
Score Breakdown
Washington Capitals 7 - 4 Edmonton Oilers
Expected: 3.1 - 2.7