Edmonton Oilers at Washington Capitals NHL Predictions
2025-11-19 • Capital One Arena
Washington Capitals 7 - 4 Edmonton Oilers
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
WSH: 56.2%
EDM: 43.8%
Expected Goals
WSH: 3.39
EDM: 2.97
Total Goals
Median: 6.8
Over 5.5: 72%
Over 6.5: 59%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
WSH
Logan Thompson - 31-21-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.44 GAA
EDM
Tristan Jarry - 18-9-3 | 0.882 SV% | 3.32 GAA
| Stat | WSH | EDM |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.913 | 0.906 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.912 | 0.837 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.867 | 0.867 |
| GAA | 2.39 | 2.73 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • WSH at home vs EDM: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-24 | EDM 6 - 5 WSH | EDM | EDM |
| 2025-11-19 | WSH 7 - 4 EDM | WSH | WSH |
| 2025-02-23 | WSH 7 - 3 EDM | WSH | EDM |
| 2025-01-21 | EDM 2 - 3 WSH | WSH | WSH |
| 2024-03-13 | EDM 7 - 2 WSH | EDM | EDM |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 56.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 11.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Washington Capitals 7 - 4 Edmonton Oilers
Expected: 3.4 - 3.0
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