BUF vs CGY - 2025-11-19
2025-11-19 • KeyBank Center
BUF 2 - 6 CGY
🚨 Upset Loss (68% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BUF: 67.8%
CGY: 32.2%
Expected Goals
BUF: 3.28
CGY: 3.10
Total Goals
Median: 6.1
Over 5.5: 61%
Over 6.5: 44%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BUF
Alex Lyon - 10-6-3 | 0.906 SV% | 2.82 GAA
CGY
Dustin Wolf - 14-18-2 | 0.897 SV% | 2.97 GAA
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 05:58 | CGY | Goal |
| 1 | 12:04 | CGY | Goal |
| 2 | 10:21 | CGY | Goal |
| 2 | 15:57 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 02:02 | CGY | Goal |
| 3 | 07:34 | CGY | Goal |
| 3 | 09:50 | CGY | Goal |
| 3 | 17:49 | CGY | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 67.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
BUF 2 - 6 CGY
Expected: 3.3 - 3.1