Boston Bruins at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2025-11-19 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 4 - 3 Boston Bruins

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

ANA: 56.0%

BOS: 44.0%

Expected Goals

ANA: 3.39

BOS: 2.94

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 46%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

ANA

Lukas Dostal - 13-9-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.15 GAA

BOS

Joonas Korpisalo - 6-8-0 | 0.882 SV% | 3.60 GAA

Stat	ANA	BOS
Season SV%	0.888	0.882
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	3.15	3.60

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ANA	Lukas Dostal	39	36	3	92.3%	3.73	2	0.73
BOS	Joonas Korpisalo	33	29	4	87.9%	3.31	3	-0.69

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • ANA at home vs BOS: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-19	ANA 4 - 3 BOS	ANA	ANA
2025-10-23	BOS 5 - 7 ANA	ANA	ANA
2025-03-26	ANA 6 - 2 BOS	ANA	ANA
2025-02-22	BOS 2 - 3 ANA	ANA	BOS
2023-10-26	BOS 3 - 4 ANA	ANA	BOS

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	14	1	0.88
1	BOS	22	1	1.72
2	ANA	11	1	0.91
2	BOS	18	1	0.90
3	ANA	21	1	1.53
3	BOS	13	0	1.11

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown