Edmonton Oilers at Tampa Bay Lightning NHL Predictions
2025-11-20 • Benchmark International Arena
Tampa Bay Lightning 2 - 1 Edmonton Oilers (OT)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
TBL: 68.6%
EDM: 31.4%
Expected Goals
TBL: 3.93
EDM: 2.67
Total Goals
Median: 7.8
Over 5.5: 78%
Over 6.5: 66%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
TBL
Andrei Vasilevskiy - 39-15-4 | 0.911 SV% | 2.31 GAA
EDM
Tristan Jarry - 18-9-3 | 0.882 SV% | 3.32 GAA
| Stat | TBL | EDM |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.913 | 0.906 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.919 | 0.837 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.942 | 0.925 |
| GAA | 2.33 | 2.73 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • TBL at home vs EDM: 3-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | EDM 2 - 5 TBL | TBL | TBL |
| 2025-11-20 | TBL 2 - 1 EDM | TBL | TBL |
| 2025-02-25 | TBL 4 - 1 EDM | TBL | EDM |
| 2024-12-10 | EDM 2 - 1 TBL | EDM | EDM |
| 2023-12-14 | EDM 4 - 7 TBL | TBL | EDM |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 68.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 6.6
Score Breakdown
Tampa Bay Lightning 2 - 1 Edmonton Oilers
Expected: 3.9 - 2.7
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