St. Louis Blues at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions

2025-11-20 • Xfinity Mobile Arena

Philadelphia Flyers 3 - 2 St. Louis Blues (OT)

Win Probability

PHI: 54.3%

STL: 45.7%

Expected Goals

PHI: 3.37

STL: 3.03

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 42%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • PHI at home vs STL: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-20	PHI 3 - 2 STL	PHI	PHI
2025-11-14	STL 5 - 6 PHI	PHI	PHI
2024-11-30	STL 2 - 3 PHI	PHI	STL
2024-10-31	PHI 2 - 1 STL	PHI	PHI
2024-03-04	PHI 1 - 2 STL	STL	PHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PHI	19	1	1.21
1	STL	9	0	0.62
2	PHI	13	0	0.64
2	STL	16	1	1.07
3	PHI	11	1	0.85
3	STL	7	1	0.53
4	PHI	3	0	0.27
4	STL	3	0	0.28

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Philadelphia Flyers 3 - 2 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 3.4 - 3.0