St. Louis Blues at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions
2025-11-20 • Xfinity Mobile Arena
Philadelphia Flyers 3 - 2 St. Louis Blues (OT)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
PHI: 62.7%
STL: 37.3%
Expected Goals
PHI: 3.89
STL: 3.08
Total Goals
Median: 7.0
Over 5.5: 68%
Over 6.5: 55%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
PHI
Dan Vladar - 17-9-6 | 0.905 SV% | 2.46 GAA
STL
Jordan Binnington - 8-17-6 | 0.864 SV% | 3.65 GAA
| Stat | PHI | STL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.869 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.918 | 0.826 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.931 | 0.839 |
| GAA | 2.40 | 3.56 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • PHI at home vs STL: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-20 | PHI 3 - 2 STL | PHI | PHI |
| 2025-11-14 | STL 5 - 6 PHI | PHI | STL |
| 2024-11-30 | STL 2 - 3 PHI | PHI | STL |
| 2024-10-31 | PHI 2 - 1 STL | PHI | PHI |
| 2024-03-04 | PHI 1 - 2 STL | STL | PHI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12:08 | STL | Goal |
| 1 | 05:31 | STL | Goal |
| 2 | 17:57 | STL | Goal |
| 3 | 11:49 | PHI | Goal |
| 4 | 03:51 | PHI | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 62.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 7.0
Score Breakdown
Philadelphia Flyers 3 - 2 St. Louis Blues
Expected: 3.9 - 3.1