Vegas Golden Knights at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions

2025-11-20 • Delta Center

Utah Hockey Club 1 - 4 Vegas Golden Knights

Win Probability

UTA: 48.8%

VGK: 51.2%

Expected Goals

UTA: 3.02

VGK: 3.11

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • UTA at home vs VGK: 2-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-05-01	UTA 1 - 5 VGK	VGK	VGK
2026-04-29	VGK 5 - 4 UTA	VGK	VGK
2026-04-27	UTA 4 - 5 VGK	VGK	VGK
2026-04-24	UTA 4 - 2 VGK	UTA	VGK
2026-04-21	VGK 2 - 3 UTA	UTA	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	UTA	13	1	0.77
1	VGK	10	0	0.71
2	UTA	16	1	0.93
2	VGK	19	3	2.14
3	UTA	13	1	1.29
3	VGK	10	0	0.49

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Utah Hockey Club 1 - 4 Vegas Golden Knights

Expected: 3.0 - 3.1