Ottawa Senators at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions
2025-11-20 • Honda Center
Anaheim Ducks 2 - 3 Ottawa Senators
🚨 Upset Loss (54% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
ANA: 54.3%
OTT: 45.7%
Expected Goals
ANA: 2.28
OTT: 2.92
Total Goals
Median: 5.0
Over 5.5: 43%
Over 6.5: 26%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
ANA
Lukas Dostal - 22-13-2 | 0.895 SV% | 2.98 GAA
OTT
Linus Ullmark - 16-8-5 | 0.884 SV% | 2.86 GAA
| Stat | ANA | OTT |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.881 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.904 | 0.882 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.920 |
| GAA | 3.15 | 2.95 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • ANA at home vs OTT: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-20 | ANA 2 - 3 OTT | OTT | ANA |
| 2024-12-11 | OTT 5 - 1 ANA | OTT | OTT |
| 2024-12-01 | ANA 4 - 3 OTT | ANA | ANA |
| 2024-03-06 | ANA 2 - 1 OTT | ANA | ANA |
| 2024-02-15 | OTT 1 - 5 ANA | ANA | OTT |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16:39 | OTT | Goal |
| 2 | 13:08 | ANA | Goal |
| 2 | 14:34 | ANA | Goal |
| 2 | 19:02 | ANA | Goal |
| 3 | 18:02 | OTT | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 54.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.2
Score Breakdown
Anaheim Ducks 2 - 3 Ottawa Senators
Expected: 2.3 - 2.9