Chicago Blackhawks at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions
2025-11-21 • KeyBank Center
Buffalo Sabres 9 - 3 Chicago Blackhawks
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BUF: 59.8%
CHI: 40.2%
Expected Goals
BUF: 3.69
CHI: 3.20
Total Goals
Median: 6.5
Over 5.5: 64%
Over 6.5: 50%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BUF
Alex Lyon - 14-8-3 | 0.913 SV% | 2.72 GAA
CHI
Spencer Knight - 16-16-7 | 0.908 SV% | 2.62 GAA
| Stat | BUF | CHI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.906 | 0.909 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.934 | 0.864 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.82 | 2.63 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • BUF at home vs CHI: 3-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-21 | BUF 9 - 3 CHI | BUF | BUF |
| 2024-12-27 | BUF 6 - 2 CHI | BUF | BUF |
| 2024-10-19 | CHI 2 - 4 BUF | BUF | CHI |
| 2024-01-18 | BUF 3 - 0 CHI | BUF | BUF |
| 2023-11-19 | CHI 2 - 3 BUF | BUF | CHI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18:12 | BUF | Goal |
| 1 | 17:33 | BUF | Goal |
| 1 | 15:19 | BUF | Goal |
| 1 | 13:57 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 17:31 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 14:45 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 05:50 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 05:42 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 16:22 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 07:07 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 01:56 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 00:24 | BUF | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 59.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 12.0
Expected: 6.9
Score Breakdown
Buffalo Sabres 9 - 3 Chicago Blackhawks
Expected: 3.7 - 3.2