Minnesota Wild at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions
2025-11-21 • PPG Paints Arena
Pittsburgh Penguins 0 - 5 Minnesota Wild
🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
PIT: 52.5%
MIN: 47.5%
Expected Goals
PIT: 3.23
MIN: 2.59
Total Goals
Median: 5.4
Over 5.5: 44%
Over 6.5: 33%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
PIT
Stuart Skinner - 23-17-9 | 0.888 SV% | 2.92 GAA
MIN
Filip Gustavsson - 28-15-6 | 0.903 SV% | 2.69 GAA
| Stat | PIT | MIN |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.912 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.886 | 0.836 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.958 | 0.942 |
| GAA | 2.91 | 2.47 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • PIT at home vs MIN: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-21 | PIT 0 - 5 MIN | MIN | PIT |
| 2025-10-30 | MIN 1 - 4 PIT | PIT | MIN |
| 2025-03-09 | MIN 1 - 3 PIT | PIT | PIT |
| 2024-10-29 | PIT 3 - 5 MIN | MIN | MIN |
| 2024-02-09 | MIN 3 - 2 PIT | MIN | PIT |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 52.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.8
Score Breakdown
Pittsburgh Penguins 0 - 5 Minnesota Wild
Expected: 3.2 - 2.6
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