Carolina Hurricanes at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions
2025-11-21 • Canada Life Centre
Winnipeg Jets 3 - 4 Carolina Hurricanes
🚨 Upset Loss (55% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
WPG: 55.1%
CAR: 44.9%
Expected Goals
WPG: 3.46
CAR: 2.66
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 60%
Over 6.5: 42%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
WPG
Connor Hellebuyck - 13-16-7 | 0.900 SV% | 2.79 GAA
CAR
Brandon Bussi - 23-3-1 | 0.906 SV% | 2.16 GAA
| Stat | WPG | CAR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.907 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.879 | 0.915 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.902 |
| GAA | 2.51 | 2.33 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • WPG at home vs CAR: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-28 | CAR 5 - 1 WPG | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-11-21 | WPG 3 - 4 CAR | CAR | WPG |
| 2025-03-09 | CAR 4 - 2 WPG | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-02-04 | WPG 3 - 0 CAR | WPG | WPG |
| 2024-03-02 | CAR 3 - 5 WPG | WPG | CAR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09:28 | WPG | Goal |
| 1 | 03:45 | WPG | Goal |
| 1 | 00:16 | CAR | Goal |
| 2 | 06:31 | CAR | Goal |
| 2 | 03:08 | WPG | Goal |
| 3 | 04:13 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 03:19 | CAR | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 55.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Winnipeg Jets 3 - 4 Carolina Hurricanes
Expected: 3.5 - 2.7