Seattle Kraken at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions

2025-11-22 • PPG Paints Arena

Pittsburgh Penguins 2 - 3 Seattle Kraken (OT)

🚨 Upset Loss (55% underdog)

Win Probability

PIT: 55.4%

SEA: 44.6%

Expected Goals

PIT: 3.16

SEA: 2.68

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 39%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 17% • PIT at home vs SEA: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-19	SEA 3 - 6 PIT	PIT	PIT
2025-11-22	PIT 2 - 3 SEA	SEA	PIT
2025-01-25	SEA 4 - 1 PIT	SEA	PIT
2025-01-14	PIT 2 - 4 SEA	SEA	PIT
2024-02-29	SEA 2 - 0 PIT	SEA	PIT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PIT	13	0	1.10
1	SEA	5	0	0.26
2	PIT	20	1	1.09
2	SEA	18	0	1.04
3	PIT	16	0	1.10
3	SEA	11	0	0.62
4	PIT	4	0	0.38
4	SEA	1	0	0.03

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 55.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Pittsburgh Penguins 2 - 3 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 3.2 - 2.7