Seattle Kraken at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions
2025-11-22 • PPG Paints Arena
Pittsburgh Penguins 2 - 3 Seattle Kraken (OT)
🚨 Upset Loss (63% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
PIT: 63.2%
SEA: 36.8%
Expected Goals
PIT: 3.44
SEA: 2.61
Total Goals
Median: 5.8
Over 5.5: 54%
Over 6.5: 39%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
PIT
Stuart Skinner - 19-12-5 | 0.890 SV% | 2.79 GAA
SEA
Joey Daccord - 16-13-5 | 0.902 SV% | 2.84 GAA
| Stat | PIT | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.903 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.863 | 0.919 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.917 | 0.839 |
| GAA | 2.91 | 2.77 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • PIT at home vs SEA: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-19 | SEA 3 - 6 PIT | PIT | SEA |
| 2025-11-22 | PIT 2 - 3 SEA | SEA | PIT |
| 2025-01-25 | SEA 4 - 1 PIT | SEA | SEA |
| 2025-01-14 | PIT 2 - 4 SEA | SEA | PIT |
| 2024-02-29 | SEA 2 - 0 PIT | SEA | SEA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 01:24 | SEA | Goal |
| 2 | 16:16 | PIT | Goal |
| 3 | 05:56 | PIT | Goal |
| 3 | 12:36 | PIT | Goal |
| 4 | 04:10 | SEA | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 63.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Pittsburgh Penguins 2 - 3 Seattle Kraken
Expected: 3.4 - 2.6