Dallas Stars at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions
2025-11-22 • Scotiabank Saddledome
Calgary Flames 3 - 2 Dallas Stars (SO)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CGY: 55.1%
DAL: 44.9%
Expected Goals
CGY: 3.11
DAL: 3.19
Total Goals
Median: 6.1
Over 5.5: 60%
Over 6.5: 47%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CGY
Dustin Wolf - 23-29-3 | 0.899 SV% | 3.01 GAA
DAL
Jake Oettinger - 35-12-6 | 0.899 SV% | 2.59 GAA
| Stat | CGY | DAL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.907 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.904 | 0.916 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.765 | 0.850 |
| GAA | 2.82 | 2.57 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • CGY at home vs DAL: 2-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-07 | DAL 4 - 3 CGY | DAL | DAL |
| 2026-03-03 | CGY 1 - 6 DAL | DAL | CGY |
| 2025-11-22 | CGY 3 - 2 DAL | CGY | CGY |
| 2025-03-27 | CGY 2 - 5 DAL | DAL | CGY |
| 2025-03-06 | DAL 3 - 2 CGY | DAL | DAL |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 55.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Calgary Flames 3 - 2 Dallas Stars
Expected: 3.1 - 3.2
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