Vegas Golden Knights at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2025-11-22 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 4 - 3 Vegas Golden Knights (OT)

Win Probability

ANA: 51.2%

VGK: 48.8%

Expected Goals

ANA: 3.11

VGK: 3.09

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 65% • ANA at home vs VGK: 5-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-05-14	ANA 1 - 5 VGK	VGK	ANA
2026-05-12	VGK 3 - 2 ANA	VGK	VGK
2026-05-10	ANA 4 - 3 VGK	ANA	ANA
2026-05-08	ANA 2 - 6 VGK	VGK	ANA
2026-05-06	VGK 1 - 3 ANA	ANA	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	9	0	0.28
1	VGK	16	1	1.30
2	ANA	20	1	1.28
2	VGK	10	1	1.10
3	ANA	20	0	1.04
3	VGK	14	0	0.64
4	ANA	6	0	0.47
4	VGK	1	0	0.16

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 4 - 3 Vegas Golden Knights

Expected: 3.1 - 3.1