Carolina Hurricanes at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions
2025-11-23 • KeyBank Center
Buffalo Sabres 4 - 1 Carolina Hurricanes
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BUF: 56.9%
CAR: 43.1%
Expected Goals
BUF: 3.06
CAR: 2.82
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 55%
Over 6.5: 40%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BUF
Alex Lyon - 14-8-3 | 0.913 SV% | 2.72 GAA
CAR
Brandon Bussi - 23-3-1 | 0.906 SV% | 2.16 GAA
| Stat | BUF | CAR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.906 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.934 | 0.915 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.879 | 0.944 |
| GAA | 2.82 | 2.33 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 100% • BUF at home vs CAR: 4-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-19 | CAR 2 - 1 BUF | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-11-23 | BUF 4 - 1 CAR | BUF | BUF |
| 2025-11-08 | CAR 6 - 3 BUF | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-04-08 | BUF 3 - 0 CAR | BUF | BUF |
| 2025-02-27 | CAR 5 - 2 BUF | CAR | CAR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14:36 | BUF | Goal |
| 1 | 05:51 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 18:36 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 03:55 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 19:38 | BUF | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 56.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
Buffalo Sabres 4 - 1 Carolina Hurricanes
Expected: 3.1 - 2.8