BUF vs CAR - 2025-11-23
2025-11-23 • KeyBank Center
BUF 4 - 1 CAR
🚨 Upset Win (51% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BUF: 48.9%
CAR: 51.1%
Expected Goals
BUF: 2.81
CAR: 3.17
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 41%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BUF
Alex Lyon - 10-6-3 | 0.906 SV% | 2.82 GAA
CAR
Frederik Andersen - 6-10-3 | 0.863 SV% | 3.37 GAA
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 05:51 | BUF | Goal |
| 1 | 14:36 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 03:55 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 18:36 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 19:38 | BUF | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 51.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
BUF 4 - 1 CAR
Expected: 2.8 - 3.2