Minnesota Wild at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2025-11-23 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 0 - 3 Minnesota Wild

🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

WPG: 51.1%

MIN: 48.9%

Expected Goals

WPG: 3.33

MIN: 2.98

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 47%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

WPG

Eric Comrie - 6-9-1 | 0.880 SV% | 3.49 GAA

MIN

Jesper Wallstedt - 11-2-3 | 0.928 SV% | 2.21 GAA

Stat	WPG	MIN
Season SV%	0.880	0.928
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	3.49	2.21

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
WPG	Eric Comrie	30	27	3	90.0%	2.40	3	-0.60
MIN	Jesper Wallstedt	32	32	0	100.0%	2.55	3	2.55

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • WPG at home vs MIN: 4-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-15	MIN 2 - 6 WPG	WPG	MIN
2025-12-27	WPG 3 - 4 MIN	MIN	WPG
2025-11-23	WPG 0 - 3 MIN	MIN	WPG
2025-10-28	MIN 3 - 4 WPG	WPG	MIN
2024-12-21	WPG 5 - 0 MIN	WPG	WPG

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	15	2	1.09
1	MIN	9	1	0.58
2	WPG	16	1	0.80
2	MIN	16	1	1.05
3	WPG	14	0	0.65
3	MIN	10	1	0.77

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown