Minnesota Wild at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions
2025-11-23 • Canada Life Centre
Winnipeg Jets 0 - 3 Minnesota Wild
🚨 Upset Loss (60% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
WPG: 60.4%
MIN: 39.6%
Expected Goals
WPG: 3.25
MIN: 3.07
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 60%
Over 6.5: 47%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
WPG
Connor Hellebuyck - 13-16-7 | 0.900 SV% | 2.79 GAA
MIN
Filip Gustavsson - 20-9-6 | 0.906 SV% | 2.64 GAA
| Stat | WPG | MIN |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.907 | 0.912 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.879 | 0.895 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.898 | 0.867 |
| GAA | 2.51 | 2.47 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 36% • WPG at home vs MIN: 4-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-15 | MIN 2 - 6 WPG | WPG | MIN |
| 2025-12-27 | WPG 3 - 4 MIN | MIN | WPG |
| 2025-11-23 | WPG 0 - 3 MIN | MIN | WPG |
| 2025-10-28 | MIN 3 - 4 WPG | WPG | MIN |
| 2024-12-21 | WPG 5 - 0 MIN | WPG | WPG |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 18:12 | MIN | Goal |
| 2 | 08:23 | MIN | Goal |
| 3 | 06:29 | MIN | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 60.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Winnipeg Jets 0 - 3 Minnesota Wild
Expected: 3.3 - 3.1