Colorado Avalanche at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2025-11-23 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 0 - 1 Colorado Avalanche

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

CHI: 34.9%

COL: 65.1%

Expected Goals

CHI: 3.06

COL: 3.66

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 47%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

CHI

Spencer Knight - 11-11-6 | 0.909 SV% | 2.63 GAA

COL

Scott Wedgewood - 17-1-4 | 0.919 SV% | 2.13 GAA

Stat	CHI	COL
Season SV%	0.909	0.919
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.63	2.13

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CHI	Spencer Knight	26	25	1	96.2%	2.63	1	1.63
COL	Scott Wedgewood	22	22	0	100.0%	2.37	2	2.37

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • CHI at home vs COL: 3-6

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-20	CHI 1 - 4 COL	COL	COL
2026-02-28	COL 3 - 1 CHI	COL	COL
2025-11-23	CHI 0 - 1 COL	COL	COL
2025-04-02	CHI 2 - 3 COL	COL	COL
2025-03-10	COL 3 - 0 CHI	COL	COL

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	18	1	1.33
1	COL	6	0	0.22
2	CHI	3	0	0.18
2	COL	27	0	1.24
3	CHI	15	1	0.86
3	COL	10	1	1.17

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 65.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 1.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown