Philadelphia Flyers at Tampa Bay Lightning NHL Predictions
2025-11-24 • Benchmark International Arena
Tampa Bay Lightning 3 - 0 Philadelphia Flyers
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
TBL: 60.6%
PHI: 39.4%
Expected Goals
TBL: 3.66
PHI: 2.79
Total Goals
Median: 7.1
Over 5.5: 74%
Over 6.5: 60%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
TBL
Andrei Vasilevskiy - 39-15-4 | 0.911 SV% | 2.31 GAA
PHI
Dan Vladar - 29-14-7 | 0.906 SV% | 2.42 GAA
| Stat | TBL | PHI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.913 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.919 | 0.914 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.950 | 0.840 |
| GAA | 2.33 | 2.40 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • TBL at home vs PHI: 3-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-12 | PHI 1 - 5 TBL | TBL | TBL |
| 2026-01-10 | PHI 2 - 7 TBL | TBL | TBL |
| 2025-11-24 | TBL 3 - 0 PHI | TBL | TBL |
| 2025-03-17 | TBL 2 - 0 PHI | TBL | TBL |
| 2025-03-13 | PHI 4 - 3 TBL | PHI | TBL |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 60.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 6.5
Score Breakdown
Tampa Bay Lightning 3 - 0 Philadelphia Flyers
Expected: 3.7 - 2.8
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.