St. Louis Blues at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2025-11-24 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 3 - 2 St. Louis Blues

Win Probability

NYR: 50.1%

STL: 49.9%

Expected Goals

NYR: 2.92

STL: 3.04

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 41%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • NYR at home vs STL: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-18	STL 1 - 2 NYR	NYR	NYR
2025-11-24	NYR 3 - 2 STL	NYR	NYR
2024-12-15	STL 3 - 2 NYR	STL	STL
2024-11-25	NYR 2 - 5 STL	STL	NYR
2024-03-09	NYR 4 - 0 STL	NYR	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	14	0	0.71
1	STL	7	0	0.41
2	NYR	9	0	0.37
2	STL	9	0	0.45
3	NYR	10	2	1.22
3	STL	15	1	1.28

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 3 - 2 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 2.9 - 3.0