Nashville Predators at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2025-11-26 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 3 - 6 Nashville Predators

🚨 Upset Loss (62% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

DET: 61.6%

NSH: 38.4%

Expected Goals

DET: 3.18

NSH: 2.87

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 42%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

DET

Cam Talbot - 11-6-3 | 0.888 SV% | 2.99 GAA

NSH

Justus Annunen - 3-5-1 | 0.875 SV% | 3.29 GAA

Stat	DET	NSH
Season SV%	0.888	0.875
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.99	3.29

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
DET	Cam Talbot	29	23	6	79.3%	3.65	5	-2.35
NSH	Justus Annunen	31	28	3	90.3%	3.10	2	0.10

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 40% • DET at home vs NSH: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-02	NSH 2 - 4 DET	DET	NSH
2025-11-26	DET 3 - 6 NSH	NSH	DET
2024-10-19	NSH 2 - 5 DET	DET	NSH
2024-10-12	DET 3 - 0 NSH	DET	NSH
2024-03-23	NSH 1 - 0 DET	NSH	NSH

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	13	2	1.38
1	NSH	16	1	1.03
2	DET	15	0	0.97
2	NSH	16	0	0.74
3	DET	18	0	0.75
3	NSH	11	4	1.89

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 61.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown