Nashville Predators at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions
2025-11-26 • Little Caesars Arena
Detroit Red Wings 3 - 6 Nashville Predators
🚨 Upset Loss (58% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DET: 58.4%
NSH: 41.6%
Expected Goals
DET: 2.92
NSH: 2.89
Total Goals
Median: 5.8
Over 5.5: 52%
Over 6.5: 37%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
DET
John Gibson - 22-12-2 | 0.904 SV% | 2.62 GAA
NSH
Juuse Saros - 21-17-5 | 0.892 SV% | 3.20 GAA
| Stat | DET | NSH |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.893 | 0.897 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.887 | 0.862 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.97 | 2.93 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • DET at home vs NSH: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-26 | DET 3 - 6 NSH | NSH | DET |
| 2024-10-19 | NSH 2 - 5 DET | DET | NSH |
| 2024-10-12 | DET 3 - 0 NSH | DET | DET |
| 2024-03-23 | NSH 1 - 0 DET | NSH | NSH |
| 2023-12-29 | DET 5 - 4 NSH | DET | DET |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15:48 | NSH | Goal |
| 2 | 16:34 | DET | Goal |
| 2 | 05:30 | DET | Goal |
| 3 | 18:45 | NSH | Goal |
| 3 | 14:42 | NSH | Goal |
| 3 | 14:14 | NSH | Goal |
| 3 | 03:04 | DET | Goal |
| 3 | 02:20 | NSH | Goal |
| 3 | 02:05 | DET | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 58.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 5.8
Score Breakdown
Detroit Red Wings 3 - 6 Nashville Predators
Expected: 2.9 - 2.9