Philadelphia Flyers at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2025-11-26 • Amerant Bank Arena

Florida Panthers 2 - 4 Philadelphia Flyers

🚨 Upset Loss (53% underdog)

Win Probability

FLA: 53.4%

PHI: 46.6%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.44

PHI: 3.04

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • FLA at home vs PHI: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-26	FLA 2 - 4 PHI	PHI	FLA
2025-10-13	PHI 5 - 2 FLA	PHI	PHI
2025-10-09	FLA 2 - 1 PHI	FLA	FLA
2025-01-13	PHI 4 - 3 FLA	PHI	PHI
2024-12-05	PHI 5 - 7 FLA	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	24	2	1.87
1	PHI	10	0	0.60
2	FLA	9	0	0.59
2	PHI	12	0	0.51
3	FLA	9	0	0.38
3	PHI	13	0	0.65

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 53.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 2 - 4 Philadelphia Flyers

Expected: 3.4 - 3.0