Philadelphia Flyers at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions
2025-11-26 • Amerant Bank Arena
Florida Panthers 2 - 4 Philadelphia Flyers
🚨 Upset Loss (62% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
FLA: 62.4%
PHI: 37.6%
Expected Goals
FLA: 3.44
PHI: 2.75
Total Goals
Median: 6.1
Over 5.5: 56%
Over 6.5: 43%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
FLA
Sergei Bobrovsky - 27-23-1 | 0.877 SV% | 3.07 GAA
PHI
Dan Vladar - 29-14-7 | 0.906 SV% | 2.42 GAA
| Stat | FLA | PHI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.860 | 0.914 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.868 | 0.931 |
| GAA | 2.80 | 2.40 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • FLA at home vs PHI: 2-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-26 | FLA 2 - 4 PHI | PHI | FLA |
| 2025-10-13 | PHI 5 - 2 FLA | PHI | FLA |
| 2025-10-09 | FLA 2 - 1 PHI | FLA | FLA |
| 2025-01-13 | PHI 4 - 3 FLA | PHI | FLA |
| 2024-12-05 | PHI 5 - 7 FLA | FLA | PHI |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 62.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Florida Panthers 2 - 4 Philadelphia Flyers
Expected: 3.4 - 2.8
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